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Former U.S. President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, are pictured in a combination photo taking part in the presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia Sept. 10, 2024. (OSV News photo/Brian Snyder, Reuters)

Polls show tight contest in final stretch of presidential campaign season

October 16, 2024
By Kate Scanlon
OSV News
Filed Under: 2024 Election, Feature, News, World News

WASHINGTON (OSV News) — Polls show a tight contest between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in the final stretch of the 2024 campaign season.

A RealClearPolitics Poll Average of national polls accessed Oct. 16 showed Harris leading Trump 49.5 percent-47.5 percent.

An Oct. 16 Marquette Law School Poll national survey of registered voters nationwide found a similar tight margin, with 48 percent of likely voters backing Harris and 47 percent backing Trump. Another 4 percent said they would vote for someone else while 1 percent said they would not vote for president.

The Jesuit school’s poll also found that in voting for Congress, 51 percent of likely voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate while 49 percent said they will vote for the Republican candidate.

Robert Schmuhl, professor emeritus of American studies at the University of Notre Dame, who critically observes the modern American presidency, told OSV News that at this point in the campaign season, “the presidential race couldn’t be tighter, and it’s difficult to imagine one candidate or the other opening up a lead of more than a few percentage points.”

“Vice President Harris is still introducing herself to prospective voters, while former President Trump is pitching his appeal to like-minded people who don’t vote on a regular basis,” he said. “She’s following a broad approach, while he’s digging deeper into his base of support. Either way they are both trying to secure a fairly small number of votes for a razor-thin win.”

John White, a professor of politics at The Catholic University of America in Washington, told OSV News that he thinks other metrics, such as fundraising, slightly favor Harris. Democrats have reported stronger fundraising numbers than Republicans in recent campaign disclosure filings.

“Polling shows a tight race and I expect it will be that way,” White said.

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Copyright © 2024 OSV News

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